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2024
The Recruiting Rating Service Industry’s Impact on College The Recruiting Rating Service Industry’s Impact on College
Athletics Athletics
Michael Rica
Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.shu.edu/student_scholarship
Part of the Law Commons
1
I. Overview and Introduction:
There is no secret surrounding the cultural, and often times pseudo-religious phenomenon
that is college athletics. Football and men’s basketball have transformed the way the general
public views the higher education model. High school applicants make sure to research how
successful the programs are, while also factoring in just how raucous the athletic atmosphere is
simply because it is part of the college experience now.
1
Yet, the idea that college athletics exist
as a way to build character in the future generation and teach them to deal with success and
failure is dead; and a statement like that would get you laughed straight out of the door at NCAA
headquarters in Indianapolis. College athletics is a multi-billion-dollar business that is driven by
marquee Universities, passionate fans, and most importantly, extremely talented young athletes.
A university’s ability to recruit talented high school athletes is the fundamental backbone
for which a major college athletic program sinks or swims. As college sports have developed into
generational postmarks, the competition and intensity surrounding recruiting has to skyrocketed.
2
In turn, this has created a niche industry that has taken on an identity of its own while also
substantially altering the way all college athletic stakeholders view the product. This being
online recruiting rating services. A process that was once mostly unseen, is now a major talking
point in the college athletics world.
3
1
Knowledge, H. B. S. W. (2013, May 6). The Flutie effect: How athletic success boosts college
applications. Forbes. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/sites/hbsworkingknowledge/2013/04/29/the-flutie-
effect-how-athletic-success-boosts-college-applications/?sh=6d12be166e96. The article discusses the “Flutie Effect”
which shows the impact in which the success of the sports team a university has, a successive increase in
applications and attention follows.
2
Mandel, S. (2022, July 07). 'Where are you from?': The pre-internet era - when 5-star recruits weren't
household names. Retrieved April 3, 2023, from https://theathletic.com/3398170/2022/07/06/recruiting-college-
football-superprep/?access_token=12870135. Highlights how the Coaches point of view has changed over time as
recruiting has intensified.
3
How Shannon Terry built a fortune behind college recruiting ranking websites. College Athlete Insight.
(2022, February 10). Retrieved February 25, 2023, from https://collegeathleteinsight.com/shannon-terry-college-
recruiting. Highlighting the number of viewers, users, revenue, and value the recruiting rating service industry has
developed to show just how popular it is in today’s landscape.
2
The idea is this; compile a list of the most talented high school athletes in a particular
sport, assign them a rating, then rank them amongst their peers; simple. Yet, what once started as
a way for fans to inquiry about the next potential star at their favorite University, has rapidly
transformed into a billion-dollar industry with the backing of iconic brands like Yahoo and CBS.
4
Two major websites, Rivals and 247Sports, have both collectively created and
revolutionized the industry, while a new market entrant, On3, has emerged as a one stop shop to
marry prospect ratings with NIL.
5
While these services have traditionally served as an outlet for
fans to stay up to date with recruiting, this is no longer the business model. Recruiting rating
services have transformed the way both athletes and athletic departments determine value and in
turn, fundamentally altered the talent acquisition process of a university.
This fundamental change caused by the emergence of recruiting rating services has
materialized based simply on the concept of what they are. A recruiting rating service is an
online publication that is comprised athletic scouts throughout the country that attend talent
camps, high school sporting events, and watch athletes’ film with the ultimate goal of assessing
just how talented the athlete is.
6
Although it is far from an exact science, these scouts are able to
justify their ratings through articles and ultimately the future success of the player.
To adequately display the massive influence recruiting rating services has had on college
athletics, there are multiple avenues that must be analyzed. First, it is important to understand
4
Ibid.
5
Terry, S. (2021, August 1). How is on3 different than rivals and 247sports? On3. Retrieved from
https://www.on3.com/news/how-is-on3-different-than-rivals-and-247sports/. Creator, Shannon Terry, describing the
mission of On3 and how it is different than the previous iterations of the service industry.
6
McCann, D. (2022, March 16). Star Search - who determines star rankings, and what do they really
mean? Deseret News. Retrieved from https://www.deseret.com/2022/3/16/22973363/college-football-recruiting-
who-determines-star-rankings-and-what-do-they-mean-rivals-247sports-ncaa. A basic overview of how ratings are
developed and what the actually ratings given out mean.
3
how Shannon Terry basically single handedly created the industry. Next, highlighting the
legitimization of the industry through purchases by marque corporations while also showing the
issues created by ratings through the various recruiting scandals that has plagued college
athletics. In addition, it is important to lay the foundation about the legitimacy of these services
and how their ratings actually translate to success on the field. Doing all of this to highlight the
most important aspect, which is to show how both the Universities and athletes derive value
solely created by the recruiting rating industry. With NIL and the transfer portal fundamentally
changing the fabric of college athletics, recruiting rating services will continue to directly
influence all of college sports.
II. Industry History and Rise
The landscape surrounding the recruiting process for college athletics has gone through
substantial change in virtually every NCAA era since its inception in 1906. From the 1951
decision to allow athletic scholarships, to the acceptance of booster influence in recruiting and its
ultimate ban after the infamous SMU scandal,
7
to modern day with texting limits and dead
periods, at every junction there is a new wrinkle to be ironed out in the recruiting world.
8
All
done for the NCAA to protect its idea, and business model, of amateurism.
The SMU scandal showed what the NCAA would do to protect their model. A premier
program in the 1970’s and 1980’s was made an example of by the NCAA to protect amateurism.
9
SMU was operating a slush fund in which they were paying high profile recruits, like Eric
Dickerson, to come play football for them. Found guilty, SMU was assessed the ‘Death Penalty’.
7
Dodds, E. (2015, February 25). SMU scandal: The 1987 NCAA death penalty. Time. Retrieved from
https://time.com/3720498/ncaa-smu-death-penalty/
8
Staples, A. (2008) A history of recruiting; how coaches have stayed a step ahead, Sports Illustrated .
Available at: https://www.si.com/more-sports/2008/06/23/recruiting-main (Accessed: February 25, 2023)
9
Dodds, ‘SMU scandal: The 1987 NCAA death penalty.’ After this the NCAA banned any and all booster
involvement with recruiting and athletic programs as a whole
4
Meaning their 1987 season canceled, stripped of 45 scholarships, and athletes deemed ineligible.
Unable to field a team for the 1988 season, they canceled it themselves. The SMU football
program was decimated and has still yet to return to a place of success. Recruiting drove the
actions of SMU, yet preserving amateurism as a business model drove the NCAA to punish.
10
The recruiting rating industry has followed a similar path of innovation to stay in step
with the ever so changing recruiting landscape. Although high school recruiting rankings in print
have been around for years, and were popular enough to create high school sports legends like
Damon Bailey or Emmitt Smith, the introduction of the internet truly transformed the landscape.
The roots of the internet era for recruiting ratings can almost solely be traced back to one man
and three separate ventures, Shannon Terry.
While the background story of Shannon Terry is important, a history lesson into who he
is doesn’t help address the impact the recruiting rating services have on college athletics. It’s
more important to look at what he created and why it is so influential to college athletics. Terry
was able to create three separate recruiting services, each of which following the blueprint of
rating high school athletes, yet each one owning a unique twist to keep up with the new fad
shaping college athletics at that given time. Rivals, 247Sports, and On3.
11
Three recruiting rating
services, each with a wrinkle that influences value for both the prospect and the University.
Although other services existed, like Scout, and still exist, like ESPN Rankings, it is
important to highlight Terry as the figure who was able to create entities that not only were for
fans to consume, but also for the purpose of influencing athletic departments and growing the
industry. Rivals gave fans the ability to talk, but most of the time argue, with each other about
their teams and recruiting classes. 247Sports developed a complex ratings formula that would
10
Ibid. SMU manages only one winning season from the Death Penalty until 2008.
11
How Shannon Terry built a fortune behind college recruiting ranking websites”.
5
rate and rank upwards of two thousand high school football and basketball players yearly.
12
This
grew the footprint of the ratings industry and increased the narrative around the actual rating
given to each player.
High school players were now aware of their rating; Am I a five star? Why am I a five
star here but a four star there? Recruits began to become aware of what it meant to be highly
rated, it became a method in which value in themselves could be created.
13
But additionally, it
made athletic departments aware. They too understood what it meant to be a five star, and what
kind of value obtaining that five star can create once you get him on campus.
As athletic departments began to view the services as a valuable resource, a group of the
recruiting rating services ventured into a new territory that created even more value for
themselves as a tool for athletic departments and high school prospects. Rival, ESPN and
247Sports began to sanction showcase camps that would allow the elite high school players to
display their abilities in front of scouts from across the country.
14
Players would see their ratings
rise or fall, relationships with scouts and coaches would be built, scholarship offers would be
given out; a new wrinkle within the rollercoaster that is college recruiting, created by the
recruiting rating service industry. Not only did this process and new venture develop a new
revenue stream for the recruiting services, it also allowed for legitimization of the industry.
Universities began to attend the events in the hopes of spotting their next star, coaches used it as
another way to connect with players in their never-ending recruiting pitch, and most importantly
12
Codrington, K. (2017, October 3). An inside look at the complex world of college football recruiting
rankings. Bleacher Report. Retrieved April 2, 2023, from https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2117325-an-inside-
look-at-the-complex-world-of-college-football-recruiting-rankings
13
Ibid. As the popularity increased, the meaning and impact of being highly rated did as well.
14
Ibid.
6
athletes understood that being a part of these camps was a way to grow their name and ultimately
land a scholarship offer.
15
Even after all this, developing both Rivals and 247Sports into reputable outlets used by
the college athletics universe, Terry was not finished. He has continued to adapt the recruiting
rating service industry with the ever-changing nature of stride for stride with college athletics.
With that, Terry created On3, an NIL centric rating site that breaks down everything a player
needs to know about their personal value created by being a five star, and what a university
needs to know about how much value that five-star can bring them just by wearing their colors
16
.
This two-decade long process has led the industry to the place it is today. With NIL
dominating what seems to be every conversation in the college athletics world, the recruiting
rating industry has devised a model that alters the way recruiting was traditional practiced. What
was once a regional practice has evolved into a national competition between athletic
departments. Athletic departments are now tasked with knowing the top prospects across the
country, from New Jersey to California, it is no longer a game of strictly recruiting in your
regional footprint. The development of showcase camps by Rivals and 247Sports has opened the
door to the recruitment of underclassmen.
17
Freshman, Sophomores, even middle schoolers in
many cases are being thrusted into the spotlight all thanks to these recruiting rating services. It is
now a coach’s job to not only know the best high school athletes in the country, regardless of
their high school graduation year.
18
15
Weathersby, E. (2020, October 07). Top 10 camps where college football recruits get noticed. Retrieved
April 3, 2023, from https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2005928-top-10-camps-where-college-football-recruits-get-
noticed
16
How Shannon Terry built a fortune behind college recruiting ranking websites”.
17
Weathersby, “Top 10 camps where college football recruits get noticed.”
18
Mandel, 'Where are you from?': The pre-internet era - when 5-star recruits weren't household names.
7
Coaches and athletic departments were put on notice when the online recruiting rating
service industry was developed. With unlimited access to top prospects, coaches were suddenly
expected to know more players, younger players, and better players. The old school recruiting
philosophy was dead.
Nearly everything about the way recruiting works has changed since the original
iteration of Rivals.com first launched in 1998. Not just for fans, but for the
coaches and recruits themselves. (Mandel, 2022)
19
Shannon Terry created a monster of an industry. It is something that has grown
exponentially over the past twenty years while simultaneously altering the process it first set out
to contribute to. What started out as a simple idea is now a direct instigator of the rapid change
we see affect college athletics year in and year out.
Yet, the massive influence on college athletics by these services would not be possible
without Terry’s clear business acumen and some friendly Tennessee laws. On its face, it seems
irresponsible that multiple Fortune 500 companies have each spent nine figures on one man’s
creation, to then simply let him free to create a direct competitor. It happened with Yahoo after
they acquired Rivals in 2007, CBS after they bought 247Sports in 2015, and will likely happen
again once On3 is purchased.
20
Surely these corporations have more secure non-compete clauses
that could have stopped Terry from doing this?
While Terry has been subject to non-compete clauses after his sales to Yahoo and CBS,
21
all three of the recruiting rating services were incorporated in Tennessee, a state that prohibits
19
Ibid. Comparing the way recruiting was prior to the internet era, especially before the introduction of
Rivals in 1998 as the first large recruiting rating service. Highlights the key points that recruiting is beginning earlier
in High School, showcase camps influence who Universities recruit, and coaches have to stay up to date with the
ratings of each player.
20
How Shannon Terry built a fortune behind college recruiting ranking websites”. Highlighting the
multiple times Terry has done this, even with the existence of non-compete clauses.
21
Ibid.
8
employers from restraining ordinary competition.
22
For a non-compete clause to be enforceable
in Tennessee, the employer must show evidence that without the non-compete, the employee
would thus gain an unfair advantage in future competition.
23
Terry positioned himself in a state
with friendly business laws, and created an industry that relies on adaptation to essentially allow
himself to become a personal monopoly until he ultimately sells to a larger corporation. A
remarkable strategy that has made himself into a multi-millionaire and led to the creation of an
immensely impactful college athletics industry. These purchases not only proved the brilliance of
Terry, they also marked massive turning points for the industry as a whole.
Overall, the recruiting rating industry both influences and responds to change within the
NCAA governance structure. Whether that is through high school athlete brand creation that
pushes the idea of NIL into a legal reality, or having to adjust recruiting rating industry practice
because of NCAA sanctions following recruiting violations, the rating industry has an important
and direct influence on college athletics as a whole.
III. Industry Legitimization and NCAA Governance
There is little room for debate about whether the introduction of online recruiting rating
services influenced the way individual athletic departments viewed recruiting. The industry took
the traditional, regional outlook of recruiting and made it national. A prospect from Baton Rouge,
Louisiana was no longer a lock to be the next star at LSU. Pipelines began to form; New Jersey
kids funnel to Michigan, Texas kids play at Ohio State, South Florida kids dominate at
22
Tenn. Code Ann. § 47-25-101. Covenants to restrict or lessen competition are declared against public
policy and void.
23
Ibid.
9
Alabama.
24
As recruiting became nationalized, the potential for growth on the business front
expanded.
Two major milestones for the recruiting rating service industry happened in 2007 and
again in 2015. Both dates symbolize the entrance of not only iconic brands, but massive
valuations for the industry that would solidify its relevance and influence. In 2007, Yahoo
purchased Rivals for around one hundred million dollars.
25
Eight years later in 2015, CBS
purchased 247Sports for an undisclosed amount, yet reports are that the deal was in the hundreds
of millions.
26
Both deals displayed the intrigue and demand there is for recruiting content, as
well as its importance and longevity to remain a factor in the college sports realm. While the
Yahoo deal was centered around the established subscriber base of over two hundred thousand
users,
27
the CBS purchase of 247Sports was done with the intent to break into the emerging
recruiting industry. CBS saw 247Sports report over fifteen million dollars of revenue annually
based on subscriptions, advertising, and increased interest due to their team specific content
structure.
28
CBS has televised college football since the 1950s and college basketball since the 1980s.
A pioneer and central figure in the success story that is college athletics. It is not surprising to see
24
Casagrande, M. (2021, August 31). How Alabama built a recruiting pipeline from Miami. Retrieved
April 3, 2023, from https://www.al.com/alabamafootball/2021/08/how-alabama-built-a-recruiting-pipeline-from-
miamis-backyard.html
25
Rovell, D. (2010, August 5). Yahoo buys rivals.com: Is the deal worth it? CNBC. Retrieved April 3,
2023, from https://www.cnbc.com/id/19340539
26
Fisher, E. (2015, December 16). CBS Sports Digital signs deal to buy college recruiting website
247sports.com. Sports Business Journal. Retrieved April 3, 2023, from https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/
Daily/ Issues/2015/12/16/Media/247-Sports
27
Ibid. Due is recent downloads, page views, and ad dollars spent, the interest in recruiting was seen as a
mainstay and something that consumers will seek out for the foreseeable future.
28
Bucholtz, A. (2015, December 16). CBS acquires 247 sports, a further push into the recruiting sphere.
Awful Announcing. https://awfulannouncing.com/2015/cbs-acquires-247-sports-a-further-push-into-the-recruiting-
sphere.html
10
a dominate media brand invest in a budding industry in the hopes to capture its influence and
build a profitable enterprise. With a platform garnering around twenty million visitors a month at
the time of purchase,
29
247Sports was a sought-after commodity and CBS capitalized on the
sustained enthusiasm following the recruiting rating service industry. Yet, seeing an influx of big
money investments into a recruiting adjacent venture is something that could turn sour in the
eyes of the NCAA.
While it is true that 247Sports and other recruiting rating services are independent entities
and in no way affiliated with the NCAA as an organization, recruiting is seen as a sacred element
in the NCAAs push to preserve amateurism. It is no secret that virtually all of the sanctions and
violations handed down by the NCAA onto college athletic programs stem from some sort of
recruiting violation.
30
In no way is this an indictment on CBS or any other brand that seeks to
invest in a recruiting adjacent medium, but the increased visibility it creates on prospects by fans,
coaches, and boosters, a climate for violations is created.
The issue with increased visibility to the players during their recruitment process that is
made possible by the rating services is that it opens the door to more parties that could act in
violate NCAA recruiting rules. The risk of actors from inside and outside the athletic department
violating NCAA rules to try and land talented players is substantial.
31
Recruiting rating services
and their expansion gives all prospects, especially highly rated ones, a sense of notoriety that
fans and programs covet. While recent changes to NCAA rules through state statutes and
29
Fisher, “CBS Sports Digital signs deal to buy college recruiting website 247sports.com.”
30
Staff, S. I. (2016, August 9). Study: 83% of NCAA violations involve football, basketball SI. Sports
Illustrated. Retrieved April 4, 2023, from https://www.si.com/college/2016/08/09/ap-us-ncaa-infractions-study
31
Ibid. College football and men’s basketball account for 83% of all NCAA infractions. The majority of
which coming from recruiting inducements, impermissible benefits and other recruiting violations.
11
Supreme Court decisions have muddied the waters surrounding recruiting violations, an issue
that still arises and is driven by how talented or highly rated a prospect may be is pay for play.
While O’Bannon v. NCAA
32
set the track for collegiate athlete compensation in 2015, the
2019 California Fair Pay to Play Act provided the backing for other states and ultimately pushed
the NCAA to adopt an athlete compensation model through Name, Image and Likeness. While
this is not the NIL section, it is important to understand that the Fair Pay to Play Act passed by
the California Senate allows for collegiate athletes to receive compensation for endorsements and
sponsorships while not violating NCAA rules or losing athletic eligibility.
33
Yet, while the name
may suggest the implementation of a pay to play model, that is not the case. As the NCAA has
adopted athlete compensation framework, they still vehemently restrict athletes receiving
compensation based solely on pay for play.
34
This is where the influx of big money into the
recruiting rating industry could create a negative impact from its services.
Football and men’s basketball are the two largest sports for the NCAA while also making
up over eighty percent of all NCAA violations.
35
The major players in the recruiting rating space
only provide ratings for football and men’s basketball. The spotlight is firmly on those sports and
the high school stars are amplified by the exposure. This combination follows the trend that
when big money enters the recruiting world, football and men’s basketball are the likely homes
to future NCAA infractions. Recruiting services amplify these sports and create high school
32
O’Bannon v. NCAA, 802 F.3d 1049 (9
th
Cir.2015). Decision by the court did not implement NIL or
compensation for collegiate athletes. The decision opened the door for future rulings by holding that NCAA rules
that bar compensation to athletes in terms of NIL are subject to antitrust laws.
33
Fair Pay to Play Act., 2019 Bill Text CA S.B. 206.
34
Hosick, M. (2021, December 28). NCAA adopts interim name, image and likeness policy. NCAA.org.
Retrieved April 4, 2023, from https://www.ncaa.org/news/2021/6/30/ncaa-adopts-interim-name-image-and-likeness-
policy.aspx. Pay for Play means someone paying an athlete to play at a certain school. Something that has nothing to
do with Name, Image or Likeness.
35
Ibid.
12
phenoms based on their ratings that cause universities to violate NCAA rules. No other recent
case backs this line of thinking better than United States v. Gatto.
36
At its core, United States v. Gatto is a simply pay for play case including three high
school basketball players receiving impermissible benefits to play at certain schools. Yet, digging
deeper, it is truly a testament to the influence that the recruiting rating industry has on college
athletics and the issues that arise when outside money is implicated.
The defendant, James Gatto, was the Director of Global Sports Marketing for basketball
at Adidas. A giant sports brand with hundreds of millions of dollars invested into college
athletics. He was convicted of running a pay for play scheme involving high level college
basketball programs, as well as highly rated high school basketball recruits. Gatto was running a
scheme where he paid the families of three different five star rated recruits
37
to attend three
separate Adidas sponsored Universities; North Carolina State, Kansas and Louisville. A perfect
storm for recruiting violations; high level power five Universities, five-star prospects, and a
sponsoring corporation with a stake in the action.
This is not all examined to display that Yahoo and CBS purchasing competitive stakes in
the recruiting business is an NCAA violation waiting to happen. In fact, much of what was done
in Gatto would possibly permissible if done under today’s governance structure. The recruiting
rating industry amplifies the profile of highly talented high school athletes in a way that has
never been done before. It is the Universities job to procure that talent and put a product on the
field that will bring in as much revenue as possible. So, when people, or brands, with a lot of
money and a lot of interest in a certain University, see a ranking of the best high school players
36
United States v. Gatto, 986 F.3d 104 (2
nd
Cir. 2021).
37
Id. Recruits Dennis Smith Jr., Billy Preston and Brian Bowen Jr. were all rated five stars by the recruiting
rating industry and all highly sought after by high level programs throughout the country.
13
in the country, why not try and use some of that money to push the prospect one way or the
other?
Pay to play is the fundamental antithesis of the amateur model the NCAA sets out to
preserve.
38
Even steadfast collegiate athlete advocates can come to an agreement that it can ruin
the integrity of the sport. Therefore, the NCAA continues to fight against it, even while adopting
NIL guidelines. The recruiting rating industry creates more notoriety towards highly rated
prospects,
39
and that is something the NCAA can reasonably display concern towards.
IV. Personal Brand Creation and NIL Impact
So far the discussion has centered around how the recruiting rating industry has a direct
influence on the way athletic departments function through new recruiting techniques and
practices, as well as how the rating industry affects NCAA governance through recruiting
infractions. But the most important party here is the player. The implementation of the 2019
California Fair Pay to Play Act was done to achieve fairness for the players who drive the ultra-
profitable college sports machine.
40
While the adoption of NIL guidelines by the NCAA were
likely done for other reasons following the underlying message presented in Justice Kavanaugh’s
concurring opinion in NCAA v. Alston,
41
nonetheless a pathway for earnings was achieved for the
collegiate athlete. With this new ability to earn compensation based off their Name, Image and
38
Hosick, “NCAA adopts interim name, image and likeness policy”
39
Mandel, “Where are you from?: The pre-internet era – when 5-star recruits weren’t household names”.
Highlights how internet era recruiting services has led to recruits becoming household names on a national level and
how easy the process of recruitment has become.
40
Fair Pay to Play Act., 2019 Bill Text CA S.B. 206
41
NCAA v. Alston, 141 U.S. 2141 (2021). Although Alston does not directly impact NIL and has much to
do about the antitrust nature of the NCAA model, the 9-0 decision and the implication throughout Kavanaugh’s
concurrence that other NCAA policies could be subject to striking down if the Supreme Court could hear such a
case, seemingly pushed the NCAA to adopt an NIL policy. The adoption was more to do about saving themselves
than doing what is fair for the athletes.
14
Likeness, the recruiting rating industry is again at the forefront of the newest policy in college
athletics.
As stated repeatedly, the growth of recruiting rating services like 247Sports and On3 have
allowed all types of high school prospects, from five-star quarterbacks to three-star linebackers,
to create a brand for themselves. Take Jadeveon Clowney as an example. Born to play football.
He was the type of prospect that even without the existence of the recruiting rating industry,
would have been a household name based solely on word of mouth and the dominance he
displayed as a high schooler.
42
But others take a different approach and use their rating as a status
symbol, a way to generate value for themselves. Combining this approach with the recent NIL
adoption, the recruiting rating industry becomes an important value creation machine for
countless prospects throughout the country.
While NIL has changed the way prospects can create value for themselves, the recruiting
rating industry has still had a distinct influence prior to its adoption. A perfect example being that
of the Ball family. No recruit, or father, has better used their high recruiting rating to create a
brand and personal value than the Ball’s.
43
Lavar Ball was able to leverage the five-star ratings
given to two of his sons, Lonzo and LaMelo, and create value for them both on the basketball
court and off of it. Lonzo and LaMelo were both rated as five-star prospects coming out of high
school and, with the help of their father, create massive brands and created exceptional monetary
value for themselves in a pre-NIL era. As a senior in high school and rated as a five-star recruit
42
Smith, J. (2017, May 17). Jadeveon Clowney announcement: Which School is the best choice? Bleacher
Report https:/bleacherreport.com/articles/608212-jadeveon-clowney-announcement-which-school-is-the-best-choice
43
Borzello, J. (2016, December 14). Lonzo is just the beginning of the ball-UCLA pipeline. ESPN.
Retrieved April 4, 2023, from https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/18268717/ucla-bruins-
lonzo-ball-family-just-beginning-relationship
15
in the class of 2019, LaMelo Ball had already amassed over five million Instagram followers.
44
An astronomically number that dwarfed the following of many NBA stars and entire franchises.
45
Being a highly rated recruit is a highway to fame and an important brick in the building of
personal value.
With the implementation of NIL policy by the states and the NCAA, the value creation
opportunity available by being a highly rated player dwarfs what it was when Lavar Ball was
present on every ESPN show each morning. NIL now allows prospects to hold a bargaining chip
over athletic departments based solely on their high rating and ability to create personal value.
For a multitude of reasons, the player empowerment movement has worked flawlessly. The first
being that many states and organizations have moved to allow high school athletes to profit
based on NIL.
46
By having this, many prospects are able to know their value as a recruit and pick
their university accordingly. Next, before ever even signing a deal or a national letter of intent,
prospects know their worth simply as a highly rated prospect and begin to ‘accept bids’.
47
Lastly,
prospects know the value they can bring to a university and will ask directly for the value they
think they bring as a highly rated prospect.
48
While NIL is in its infancy, the narrative surrounding its implementation is that its
currently seen as lawless and a free for all. This has led to many high school athletes and highly
44
Lee, J., & ESPN.com. (2019, May 19). Instagram is the new mixtape for High School Hoops. The
Official Website of the Southeastern Conference. from https://www.secsports.com/article/29681198/ instagram-new-
mixtape-high-school-hoops
45
Ibid. Players like Luka Doncic and Jayson Tatum had a smaller following than high school LaMelo Ball
46
Ramgopal, K. (2022, November 27). New money in NCAA recruiting leaves elite athletes ripe for
exploitation. NBCNews.com. from https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/star-high-school-athletes-can-now-
profit-nil-deals-rcna51075
47
Willerup, L. (2023, February 6). How Jaden Rashada's camp took a gamble and missed out on millions.
FanNation. Retrieved from https://www.si.com/college/miami/recruiting/how-jaden-rashadas-camp-took-a-gamble-
and-missed-out-on-millions
48
Rapp, T. (2023, January 31). Report: Alabama's Nick Saban received nil requests from 2 players totaling
$1.3M. Bleacher Report. Retrieved from https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10063691-report-alabamas-nick-saban-
received-nil-requests-from-2-players-totaling-13m
16
rated recruits to not truly understand the limits at which they can partake in NIL. In layman’s
terms, many believe the only restriction in place is that compensation simply cannot come
directly from the University and must flow through other entities like collectives or boosters.
49
The potential earning capacity that highly rated recruits see as it comes with the notoriety of
being a well-known high school athlete has led many to do things never before seen on the
amateur level. Highly rated prospects contracting with agents while still in high school, growing
their social platforms in the hopes of securing a large NIL deal because of it, and many times
risking eligibility to secure NIL deals for the next level.
50
NIL has allowed recruiting rating
services to act as a value creation vessel for highly rated prospects, which in the era of NIL has
rightfully allowed these prospects to earn what the market says they are worth.
While many prospects are learning on the fly about their value as a recruit, the recruiting
rating industry has again stayed a step ahead. The recruiting rating visionary that is Shannon
Terry had a plan when NIL policy was all but implemented, create a new venture that functions
as a traditional ratings site, yet also allows top prospects to actually see what their value is.
51
Although it is an inexact formula prospects have the ability to roughly know what their monetary
value is.
52
But the most important feature that truly shows the influence the recruiting ratings
industry has on the current NIL era is the concept introduction of ‘Roster value’ and ‘Brand
Value’. Roster value in a sense is what drives NIL from an athletic department’s perspective.
Simply put, it is the value that the athlete will bring to the team or university. Universities use
49
Ramgopal, New money in NCAA recruiting leaves elite athletes ripe for exploitation.
50
Ibid. Two five-star teammates signing with an NIL agent while in high school and T.A Cunningham
losing eligibility. New amateur sports issues yet not particular uncommon anymore.
51
Terry, S. (2023, April 4). About on3 nil valuation, Brand Value, roster value. On3. Retrieved from
https://www.on3.com/nil/news/about-on3-nil-valuation-per-post-value/
52
Terry, “About on3 nil valuation, Brand Value, roster value”. Presenting the idea of both Roster Value and
Brand Value.
17
roster value to develop an idea of how much having this particular athlete on their campus is
worth in terms of memorabilia, merchandise, ticket sales, advertising deals, and much more.
53
On the other side, roster value is what the athlete usually points to when requesting a certain
amount of money to play for a particular school through their collective.
54
NIL has allowed
athletes to know their roster value to a university and essentially use it as a bargaining chip.
On the other hand, brand value is solely a devise used by the athlete that takes into
account the status of a highly rated prospect. Brand value is a calculation of what the athlete’s
personal brand is and what they can earn through their own personal advertising and sponsorship
opportunities.
55
Brand value is based around three factors.
56
The obvious one being on field
performance, while the next two, influence and exposure, highlight the prospects’ ability to build
their own brand as a highly rated prospect.
Exposure mainly has to do with the relevance and prestige of the high school or
university the player attends. This really plays into the concept of top prospects transferring to
large, well known high schools to increase their exposure on a national scale. High schools that
garner national attention allow those prospects to increase their exposure. High schools like IMG
Academy,
57
Bishop Gorman, and even Bergen Catholic thrive off of their ability to market their
school to highly rated players in the name of national exposure. Because of this ability, these
schools tend to always rank at or near the top in terms of talent and success on the field.
53
Ibid.
54
Ibid. Many athletes now simply state a price they wish to receive from the collective to enroll and play at
that particular school. Roster value is what the athlete would create in revenue.
55
Ibid.
56
Ibid. Performance, Influence and Exposure are weighted equally in calculating the approximate NIL
value of a recruit.
57
Crist, J. (2017, June 4). IMG Academy has become ground zero for recruiting ... and college football's
Superpowers know it. Saturday Down South. Retrieved from https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/sec-football/img-
academy-recruiting-key-to-winning-college-football/
18
The last metric, and the one where the recruiting rating service plays the largest role in, is
influence. This metric is simply a measure of a prospects social media following and reach.
Having a large following creates NIL brand value in a simple way, brands that are in the NIL
business want their product or service to be seen by the most amount of people possible.
Prospects that are highly rated and market themselves because of it, are valued higher than
others.
58
To put the value of being a five-star prospect in the NIL era into perspective, the top
seventeen highest NIL valued prospects in high school football during the 2022 season were all
either five-star prospects or quarterbacks.
59
Understanding your value as a highly rated prospect
is the name of the game, yet the results can be volatile.
While many prospects in the past few recruiting cycles have successful used their value
as a recruit to secure compensation, there are still a fair share of instances where players were
burned by a false sense of value.
60
The most recent and arguably most absurd instance being the
saga surrounding highly rated quarterback in the 2023 recruiting cycle, Jaden Rashada. A highly
sought after prospect, Rashada verbally committed to the University of Miami on national
television, only to flip his commitment to the University of Florida months later.
61
This flip was
met with speculation, then confirmation, that Rashada secured a fourteen-million-dollar NIL deal
courtesy of The Gator Collective.
62
As stunning as it may be, this contract is completely legal in
the new NCAA governance policy.
The issue that arose in this case, and many other similar cases, is that NCAA guidelines
surrounding NIL deals are quite loose. Seemingly, the only guardrail set in place is that
58
Terry, “About on3 nil valuation, Brand Value, roster value”.
59
Staff. (2022). High School Football Nil Rankings. On3.com. Retrieved April 5, 2023, from
https://www.on3.com/nil/rankings/player/high-school/football/
60
Ramgopal, “New money in NCAA recruiting leaves elite athletes ripe for exploitation”. Jaden Rashada
contract issues and T.A. Cunningham losing high school eligibility.
61
Willerup, “How Jaden Rashada's camp took a gamble and missed out on millions”
62
Ibid. The Gator Collective is UF’s partner collective that legally can enter into NIL deals with athletes.
19
Universities cannot directly offer deals to prospects in the name of pay for play.
63
Massive sums
of money are being promised to prized prospects by seemingly independent parties from the
University, with the hope of securing their commitment. Yet, with little NCAA governance in this
particular area, prospects are ripe to be taken advantage of.
64
As for Rashada, the fourteen-million-dollar deal was in fact too good to be true and Gator
Collective backed out of the deal right before the initial payment was due.
65
Although a very bad
optic for the University and a potential fraud or contract dispute, because of the NCAA calendar,
Rashada had already signed his letter of intent to enroll at the University of Florida. Rashada was
then granted his release from the University and ultimately ended up signing with Arizona State
University.
66
As personal value becomes more understood from the recruiting ratings industry, more
and more highly rated prospects will understand that they can seemingly make generational
wealth through NIL. Universities are willing to use the legality of collectives to offer money to
prospects to ensure their enrollment to their school, a pseudo pay for play model.
67
The issue is
that the ratings community has created a system that is ripe for deceit because of the NCAAs
rough policy.
Another new wrinkle created by the recruiting rating industry along with the NCAA
policy surrounding NIL, is the practice of prospects simply requesting a certain amount of
money to play for that University.
68
While the Rashada case highlighted a practice of partnering
63
Ramgopal, “New money in NCAA recruiting leaves elite athletes ripe for exploitation”.
64
Ibid. The rise of collectives and agents make it difficult for prospects to fully understand what they are
getting themselves into in terms of NIL deals. Many sign contracts they do not understand and simply get taken
advantage of in the name of recruiting.
65
Willerup, “How Jaden Rashada's camp took a gamble and missed out on millions”
66
Ibid.
67
Ramgopal, “New money in NCAA recruiting leaves elite athletes ripe for exploitation”. Various accounts
of coaches leveraging their collective to offer a prospect money as pseudo pay for play.
68
Rapp, “Report: Alabama's Nick Saban received nil requests from 2 players totaling $1.3M.”
20
with collectives or boosters to offer money to a prospect in the hopes of having him sign with
their school, this new phenomenon highlights almost the exact definition of pay for play. Yet, it is
still practiced and accepted, possibly ignored, in pretty much all cases.
69
Many prospects are
using recruiting rating industry as somewhat of a personal value generator, it is not surprising
that many are taking advantage of this, with a notably instance coming out of Tuscaloosa.
70
Reports emerged from Nick Saban claiming that he was approached by two prospects,
one from the high school ranks and one from the transfer portal, who each requested money to
come to the University of Alabama.
71
The high school prospect, whose name was kept
anonymous but it’s an unkept secret that it was the number one rated player in the class Cormani
McClain, requested eight hundred thousand dollars to commit to Alabama. The transfer portal
player, who turned out to be Alabama offensive guard Javion Cohen, requested five hundred
thousand dollars and for his girlfriend to obtain a spot in the Alabama Law School.
72
Regardless of the absurdity of the request, conversations like that happen every day in the
college athletics world at almost every school in the country.
73
After the requests, its reported
that Saban denied them both and figuratively showed them the door.
The complexity of this overarching issue is the marriage between the recruiting rating
industry and the implementation of NIL. Prospects know roughly what they are worth from
ratings as well as NIL formulas and calculators created by On3.
74
It is not a surprise or even a
69
Weir, G. (2023, February 10). Ohio State football general manager explains how recruits asking for big
nil money caused shift in focus. OutKick. Retrieved from https://www.outkick.com/ohio-state-football-recruiting-
nil-name-image-likeness-money-retention. Ohio State football has had to change their recruiting techniques because
of the number of players that are approaching them asking for a certain sum of money to play for them.
70
Rapp, “Report: Alabama's Nick Saban received nil requests from 2 players totaling $1.3M.”
71
Ibid. NIL and recruiting ratings are both heavily used in the Transfer Portal as well.
72
Brown, L. (2023, January 31). Nick Saban says he turned away two players over crazy nil demands.
Yardbarker. https://www.yardbarker.com/college_football/articles
73
Weir, “Ohio State football general manager explains how recruits asking for big nil money caused shift in
focus”
74
Terry, “About on3 nil valuation, Brand Value, roster value”.
21
bad thing that prospects are using this to their advantage, they should be. The 2019 California
Fair Pay to Play Act and the NCAAs subsequent policy adoption has allowed for drastically
increased athlete rights, something that is long overdue. Yet, that doesn’t mean that the system is
immune from criticism.
While it is true and a very good step that many players are creating value for themselves
and earning generation compensation for their name, image and likeness that athletes of the past
were not able to earn,
75
there is a nasty side to all of this. The Jaden Rashada saga is just one
story in a sea of other NIL contracts or promises that did not go the way the parties involved had
planned it to go. The recruiting rating industry has had a front seat to this change in NCAA
governance and have as much influence on the NIL hysteria than the court cases and statutes that
got us to this point. Now, as important as it is to understand the recruiting ratings impact on NIL
from the players point of view, there is an equally important party that is directly influenced by
the ratings industry and how it interacts with NIL. The Universities.
V. Effect on University recruiting and NIL policy
What the recruiting rating service industry has done to give athletes the ability to create
and grow their personal brand, while following the NCAA NIL policy has completely changed
the way Universities and athletic departments conduct their recruiting activities.
76
Each school is
different depending on the state laws that govern, but across the country Universities have had to
quickly adjust to the new attitude and identity that surrounds a prospect. The rise of collectives,
the rebirth of boosters, contracts with local businesses; all are now standard practices at virtually
75
Gerbers, C. (2022, October 4). Highest paid college athletes in the nil era. Action Network. Retrieved
from https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/highest-paid-college-athletes-in-the-nil-era
76
King, A. (2022, July 19). How schools and private entities have engaged in nil activity. Sports Shorts.
Retrieved from https://www.sports.legal/2022/07/how-schools-and-private-entities-have-engaged-in-nil-activity/
22
all NCAA member institutions.
77
As lucrative a business NIL can be for prospects, acquiring
talent and putting a successful product on the field is still the name of the game for revenue
generation for universities.
The current NIL system is unprecedented and something college athletics has never had
to adjust to before. There has always been recruiting violations with schools offering prospects
money to play for them, it is not a new concept. Yet, prospects can now field offers from various
university affiliated entities, demand a certain amount of money to be paid to them, and even
know how much they are actually worth! Universities have countered these tactics by pairing
with third-party entities to conduct pseudo pay for play activities.
78
NCAA NIL policy is so new
and in its infancy, there are no guidelines and many critics view it as a wild west era. The critics
are not wrong, yet this system is legal and the way recruiting will work for the time being.
79
Pressure on coaches and athletic departments has never been higher and they must adapt
to stay competitive. But the basis for job security remains on field success and the source of that
is talent, a concept as old as college athletics itself. Procuring talent is the name of the game, in
the college athletics world it’s a tried-and-true formula that the most talented team will be more
successful.
80
In addition, studies continue to legitimize the recruiting ratings industry by
affirming the idea that having highly rated prospects on your team will result in success. While it
is not a truly groundbreaking theory, it does corroborate the influence the ratings industry has on
77
Ibid.
78
Ibid. Collectives and third-party operate in a way that is toeing the line of true pay for play.
79
Ibid. Since Alston, all parties are operating with little guidance and little NCAA pushback.
80
Fanson , P. (2021, July 2). How does college football recruiting impact who makes the playoffs (and vice
versa)? The Only Colors. Retrieved from https://www.theonlycolors.com/2021/7/2/22558357/how-does-college-
football-recruiting-impact-who-makes-the-playoffs-and-vice-versa-fbs
23
college athletics. Yet, the introduction of NIL has created an unprecedented barrier that athletic
departments must hurdle in their journey to acquire the highly rated prospects.
81
But this pressure on coaches and athletics departments alike should come as no surprise.
College athletics is a business. A cold hearted, cut throat business that leaves behind the weak
and embraces the victors. Creating and sustaining a successful football and men’s basketball
program is essential to the success of an athletic department. The pressure of success should be
felt by the individuals involved in these two sports because without them, there would be no
athletic department to speak of.
82
At ninety nice percent of NCAA member institutions, football
and men’s basketball are the only revenue generating sports they have.
83
NIL has amplified the
pressure for coaches to succeed in football and men’s basketball recruiting because if they don’t,
the other sports will go unfunded.
All athletic departments are not built the same and it is an accepted part of the collegiate
sports business that some schools can offer more money than others. While NIL ability is still a
big deal for most of the top-rated prospects, there is still the element of preference and fit. If all
decisions were simply based off of NIL, every five-star athlete would be at Tennessee or Miami
where their collectives, and John Ruiz, seemingly have no budget.
84
The recruiting rating industry allows universities to easily analyze talent as they grade
prospects using the star ratings. Universities compete to attract the prospects in any way they
81
Zimbalist, A. (2021, October 27). Nils, surrogate markets and the future of college sports. Forbes.
Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewzimbalist/2021/10/27/nils-surrogate-markets-and-the-future-of-
college-sports/?sh=69f57ad61f27. Discussed how coaches and athletic directors have to operate in a completely
different way as before when recruiting. A whole new facet of their jobs has been created to just deal with NIL deals
and partnerships.
82
Maas, S. (2020, November). Revenue redistribution in big-time college sports. NBER. https://
www.nber.org /digest/202011/revenue-redistribution-big-time-college-sports
83
Ibid. Exception to a small number of schools for baseball, women’s basketball, softball, etc.
84
Staff. (2023, March 10). On3's top 20 most ambitious Nil Collectives. On3. Retrieved from
https://www.on3.com/nil/news/on3s-top-20-most-ambitious-nil-collectives/
24
can, which has led to an influx of unprecedented amounts of money for recruiting.
85
To stay
ahead and compete for elite talent, athletic departments must spend money, a lot of money.
First, although it would seem like the marquee universities are the ones to be shelling out
unlimited NIL requests, the inverse seems to be true. Storied programs, the Alabama’s and Ohio
States of the world, use the flip side of NIL and sell themselves on roster value.
86
While brand value deals more on how prospects can create value, roster value allows the
university to sell themselves to a particular prospect.
87
While schools like Colorado or Texas
Tech may be more willing to meet the brand value demands requested by a top prospect,
88
the
schools like Ohio State or Georgia lean more onto selling themselves through roster value. So far
this strategy has worked, these roster value centric schools have continued to recruit at the
highest level and win at the highest level.
89
The current NCAA NIL governance and personal
value knowledge from the recruiting rating industry has created this divide. After Justice
Kavanaugh’s threatening concurrence in Alston, the NCAAs hands off approach has given both
athletes and universities more freedom to experiment with finances in the recruiting world. With
no universal guidelines across the country, there is a divide in how universities implement NIL
policies in recruiting, whether that’s from a brand value or roster value mindset.
But all of this is not to say that roster value focused schools do not invest capital into
making sure a top recruit is landed. These schools continue to top the charts in the recruiting
85
Ibid. The list addresses how much money now donated or given to athletic programs is earmarked for
either just recruiting expenses or NIL.
86
Smith III, K. L. (2021, July 2). How important will college brand value be to athletes in name, image and
likeness era? USA Today. Retrieved from https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/2021/07/02/how-
important-college-brand-value-athletes-name-image-likeness-era/5357047001/
87
Ibid. Big, successful schools will continue to recruit at a high level without using pseudo pay for play
because their roster value is high. They can sell the notoriety of their school to top recruits in the name of creating
more personal value for the player.
88
Staff, “On3's top 20 most ambitious Nil Collectives”
89
Ibid.
25
rankings and still secure the highest concentrate of five-star talent.
90
The schools that use this
line of thinking still use capital in the recruiting process, yet it is used in a different capacity than
the NIL focused schools.
A prospects personal brand has become an important aspect of the typical highly rated
prospect in terms of recruiting.
91
Prospects use their online following to grow their brand in an
attempt to create more value for themselves. Many athletic departments understand this drastic
shift towards online clout and invest heavily in making sure that they can show prospects their
school is able to help them grow that personal brand. To do this, schools that are able to market
themselves from the roster value standpoint, earmark large portions of their budget in treating the
specific prospect like a VIP.
92
This all comes with being a highly rated prospect. Roster valued
schools pour over two million dollars a year into putting on a show for highly rated prospects,
and it works.
93
Highly rated prospects understand their value, and use it effectively.
The NCAAs loose and mostly unregulated approach NIL following the lead set by
California and the disastrous future outlined by Justice Kavanaugh in Alston,
94
has created two
distinct approaches used by universities to acquire talent. Some are focused heavily on
collectives and boosters to simply pay highly rated players to come play at their school.
95
In
many cases this works, but these schools still fall behind the perennial powerhouses that really
90
Ibid. Top schools are ultimately going to keep recruiting at the top because they are huge brands and can
create immense value for the athlete once they are on campus.
91
Lee & ESPN.com, “Instagram is the new mixtape for High School Hoops”. Instagram and social media
have become a huge part of the identity of a prospect, many times acting as a place to post their highlights and
recruiting news or updates.
92
Parks, J. (2023, February 20). College football recruiting: Georgia, Alabama among 2023's biggest
spenders. FanNation. Retrieved from https://www.si.com/fannation/college/cfb-hq/ncaa-football-rankings/college-
football-recruiting-2023-rankings-biggest-spenders-georgia-alabama
93
Ibid. Schools that recruit at the top of the class spend the most money on recruits not in the form of direct
NIL payments. This includes private jets, photoshoots, luxury hotels, etc.
94
NCAA v. Alston, 141 U.S. 2141 (2021). Kavanaugh’s concurrence pretty much spelled out what future
challenges to the NCAAs model could look like. Gave a stark warning that all other aspects of their business could
be antitrust violations and if certain cases came to the Supreme Court, it could be the end of the NCAA.
95
Staff, “On3's top 20 most ambitious Nil Collectives”.
26
don’t use NIL as the end all be all. These other schools like Alabama or Ohio State still have NIL
directives and collectives, yet they try not to make it the only pitch to the prospect. They are
willing to invest capital to impress a recruit and get them to understand the roster value potential
there is. Yet, this is still college athletics. While acquiring highly rated prospects is great for
winning, these schools also understand that revenue generation is still paramount.
96
It has been previously stated as well as backed up through empirical studies that the
higher rated recruit and ultimate recruiting class that an individual university brings in, has a
direct positive impact to the on-field success. In the realm of college football, universities that
are able to consistently produce recruiting classes ranked within the top ten for that year, have up
to a forty percent higher chance of making the college football playoff during a given season.
97
This should not come as a shock but it further drives home the point that the recruiting rating
services are correct in their evaluations and fundamentally alter college athletics.
In the rating industry’s everyday practice, their decisions and evaluations directly impact
the revenue generated by an athletic department. A study was conducted in 2013 at The Ohio
State University that drew a direct correlation between five-star rated athletes and their
individual revenue impact for a college football team.
98
First, the connection is made between
acquiring highly rated players and success on the field. The study finds that schools who are able
to acquire the five-star talent will have higher success on the field and ultimately more bowl and
postseason success.
99
This is by no means a surprise. But the study went further and found that
96
Elliott, Bud. “Economists Think 5-Star College Football Recruits Could Be Worth
$500k Annually.” SBNation.com, SBNation.com, 1 Nov. 2016, https://www.sbnation.com/college-football-
recruiting/2016/11/1/13418518/impact-recruit-college-football-team-performance-study-money-playoff.
97
Fanson, “How does college football recruiting impact who makes the playoffs (and vice versa)”. Studies
show the correlation between top ten recruiting classes and percent chances of making the college football playoff.
98
Bregman, S., & Logan, T. (2013) The Effect of Recruit Quality on College Football Team Performance.
https://www.asc.ohio-state.edu/logan.155/pdf/Bergmen_Logan.pdf
99
Ibid.
27
with all else equal, the average five-star player is worth about one hundred and fifty thousand
dollars per year in postseason proceeds alone. In addition, further research suggests that the
number could be closer to five hundred thousand dollars due to increased television revenues.
100
The study just furthers the point which is now obvious that recruiting matters and that the
recruiting rating industry has developed a unique way to influence NIL policy, on field success,
revenue, and the way in which the NCAA governs. The impact that the recruiting rating service
industry has on prospects and universities alike is obvious. Recruiting plans and strategies have
been completely changed as the attitude of the modern era recruit has changed. In addition, as the
rating service industry has led the charge in allowing prospects to understand their worth based
on the NCAAs loose NIL guidelines, entirely new recruiting processes have been adopted.
VI. Conference Success and Television Rights
The recruiting rating services industry has drastically altered the way universities and
prospects interact. But viewed more broadly, these changes have a wider downstream effect on
the current conference realignment trend and the subsequent television rights deals.
101
With two
conferences, the Big Ten and the SEC, that seemingly dominate both the recruiting trail and
postseason success, television rights deals have ballooned. Recruiting is at the root of this.
Ever since 1984 when the Supreme Court held that the current NCAA television plan
violated antitrust acts in NCAA v. Board of Regents of the University of Oklahoma, television
deals with conferences have been the norm.
102
In addition, the current deregulation and
decentralization attitude for NCAA governance has given more power to the conferences and in
100
Ibid. A five-star player was found to be worth from $150,000 to $500,000. The metrics were dependent
upon television revenue as well as just making it into the postseason. In addition, the numbers are now most likely
higher because of the playoff implementation and just how much more money college football makes now.
101
Marshall, J. (2022, July 1). Conference realignment makes another seismic shift. AP NEWS. Retrieved
from https://apnews.com/article/college-football-entertainment-sports-f8fe439b9f439ab8ea71e37ca0c3bb12
102
NCAA v. Board of Regents, 468 U.S. 85 (1984). The Supreme Court found that the televisions rights
deals agreed upon by the NCAA have constituted a monopoly and forced the decentralization of them.
28
turn has led to a freer market.
103
By doing this, it has shown that the conferences who have been
able to recruit to a higher standard and ultimately play at a higher standard have emerged as the
two dominate conferences.
For over a year the Big Ten and SEC have been on a warpath to see who can eat up and
dismantle the rest of the conferences quicker. With less and less NCAA governance, both
conferences have made it clear that they are making it their goal to acquire the biggest name
brands across the country to secure the largest television rights deals as possible. After news
broke that Texas and Oklahoma were joining the SEC, and the Big Ten was adding both USC
and UCLA, both conferences signed unprecedented television deals.
104
With the SEC agreeing to
a three-billion-dollar deal with ESPN and the Big Ten agreeing to a seven-billion-dollar deal
with Fox, CBS and NBC, the other conferences simply cannot compete. As each university in
those two conferences stands to make around a hundred million per year in just television
revenue,
105
it is no surprise that recruiting and talent acquisition are at the forefront.
As traditional NCAA governance has taken a back seat in the face of potential antitrust
violations, two groups of schools have emerged. The ones that are using it to their advantage and
the ones that are getting left behind. Money drives every decision made in college athletics, and
now with less regulation conferences are doing what they think is best and most profitable for
their member institutions. Every day that the Pac 12, Big 12 and ACC stand idly by as the Big
Ten and SEC create a de facto super league, they lose value.
106
But the only way to combat this
is to acquire talent and put a successful product on the field, as it all comes back to recruiting.
103
Marshall, “Conference realignment makes another seismic shift”.
104
Ibid.
105
Rittenberg, A. (2022, August 18). Big ten completes 7-year, $7 billion media rights agreement with Fox,
CBS, NBC. ESPN. Retrieved from https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/34417911/big-ten-completes-7-
year-7-billion-media-rights-agreement-fox-cbs-nbc
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Marshall, “Conference realignment makes another seismic shift”.
29
There is no stopping the giant boulder speeding downhill that is conference realignment.
The NCAAs recent hands-off governance approach has caused it. Successful conferences
continue to leverage their value while the others just wait for the next shoe to fall. Successful
recruiting is the quickest and most important way to combat being left for dead.
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NCAA
governance has accelerated conference realignment, yet the recruiting rating service industry’s
impact on talent distribution created it.
VII. Conclusion
Recruiting is undoubtably the life blood for the current model of college athletics. With
changes like conference realignment, transfer portal, and NIL, the business of recruiting is
becoming more important than it ever has been before. The increased importance of recruiting
has turned the recruiting rating service industry into a key piece of the puzzle for success. The
industry has continued to show its ability to innovate and stay in line with trends throughout the
sports as well as often changing NCAA governance policies. As college athletics continue to
grow, financial investment continues to flow, and talent acquisition continues to be the driving
factor of success, the recruiting rating service industry will remain a major influence on all
aspects of college athletics.
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Elliott, “Economists Think 5-Star College Football Recruits Could Be Worth $500k Annually.”