54 CHAPTER 1. NEWTON’S LAWS, CHEMICAL KINETICS, ...
continued with C
∗
activating D, then [D
∗
] would rise as the third power of
time, and so on. In general, if we have a cascade with n steps, we expect
that the output of the cascade will rise as t
n
after we turn on the external
stimulus.
Many people had the cascade model in mind for different biological pro-
cesses long before we knew the identity of any of the molecular components.
The idea that we could count the number of stages in the cascade by looking
at how the output grows at short times is very elegant, and in Fig 1.11 we see
a relatively modern implementation of this idea for the rod photoreceptors
in the toad retina. It seems there really are three stages to the cascade!
This same basic idea of counting steps in a cascade has been used in very
different situations. As an example, in Fig 1.12, we show the probability that
someone is diagnosed with colon cancer as a function of their age. The idea
is the same, that there is some cascade of events (mutations, presumably),
and the power in the growth vs. time counts the number of stages. It’s
kind of interesting that if look only on a linear plot (on the left in Fig 1.12),
you might think that there was something specifically bad that happens to
people in their 50s that causes a dramatic increase in the rate at which they
get cancer. In contrast, the fact that incidence just grows as a power of age
suggest that there is nothing special about any particular age, just that as
we get older there is more time for things to have accumulated, and there
are several things that need to happen in order for cancer to take hold.
It’s quite amazing it is that these same mathematical ideas describe such
different biologic al processes occurring on completely different time scales
(years vs. seconds).
One can do a little more with the cascade model. If we think a little
more (or maybe use the equations), we see that the maximum number of
[B
∗
] molecules that will get made depends on their lifetime τ =1/k
−
: there
is a competition between A
∗
activating B → B
∗
, and the decay process
B
∗
→ B. This same story happens at every stage, so again the peak number
of molecules at the output will be proportional to some power of the lifetime
of the activated molecules, and this power again counts the number of stages
in the cascade, Thus the cell can adjust its sensitivity—the peak number of
output molecules that each activated input A
∗
can pro duce—by modulating
the lifetimes of the activated states. But if we change this lifetime , we also
change the overall time scale of the response. Roughly speaking, the time
required for the response to reach its peak is also proportional to τ. So we
expect that if a cell adjusts its gain by changing lifetimes, then the gain and
time to peak should be related to each other as gain ∝ t
n
peak
, where there
are n stages in the cascade; of course this value of n should agree with what